How do you read a scatterplot and describe the association between two variables on the MCAS?
Read scatterplots, describe the form, direction, and strength of an association, identify clusters and outliers, and interpret two-way frequency tables.
A Grade 10 Math MCAS answer on two-variable data: reading scatterplots, describing form, direction, and strength of association, spotting clusters and outliers, and interpreting two-way frequency tables.
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What this topic is asking
The Statistics and Probability category requires reading two-variable data (the S-ID standards). On the Grade 10 MCAS you interpret scatterplots, describing the form, direction, and strength of an association, identify clusters and outliers, and read two-way frequency tables. These are interpretation tasks more than calculation, so the vocabulary (positive, negative, strong, weak, linear) must be precise.
Reading a scatterplot
A scatterplot shows paired data as points, revealing whether the two variables move together. Three features describe the pattern:
- Form: is the pattern roughly linear (a straight-line trend), curved, or formless?
- Direction: is it positive (as increases, tends to increase, points rising left to right) or negative (as increases, tends to decrease, points falling)?
- Strength: are the points tightly clustered around the trend (strong) or widely scattered (weak)?
So a scatterplot of study hours versus score that rises in a narrow band is a strong positive linear association.
Clusters and outliers
Beyond the overall trend, look for:
- Clusters: groups of points bunched in one region, which can signal subgroups in the data.
- Outliers: individual points far from the main pattern. In two-variable data, an outlier may not be extreme in either variable alone but lies off the trend (for example, a point that is high in but low in when the rest rise together).
The MCAS may ask you to identify an outlier on a scatterplot or to consider how removing it would affect the trend line.
Two-way frequency tables
A two-way frequency table cross-tabulates two categorical variables, with counts in each cell. For "plays a sport" by "owns a pet", the four cells are the combinations, and the margins give the totals for each category. To answer "how many own a pet", add every cell where pet ownership is yes, across both sport categories.
Two-way tables also support relative frequencies: dividing a cell by a row total, a column total, or the grand total gives a proportion, which the MCAS may ask you to compare (for example, the fraction of sport-players who own a pet versus the fraction of non-players who do).
Linear versus nonlinear patterns
Not every association is linear. A scatterplot may curve, rising then leveling off, or rising at an increasing rate. The MCAS asks you to judge whether a straight line is a reasonable model or whether the pattern is nonlinear. If the points bend consistently, a line will systematically miss them, and a curved model fits better. Recognizing that a relationship is positive but curved (not linear) is a valid and tested description, and it warns against forcing a line of best fit onto data that does not support one.
From a scatterplot to a prediction
When a scatterplot shows a strong linear pattern, drawing a trend line through the middle of the points lets you estimate a -value for a given , reading it off the line. This is the visual version of using a line of best fit. The estimate is only as trustworthy as the pattern is tight, and only within the range of the data, which connects this topic directly to linear regression. A loose, scattered cloud of points does not support a confident prediction.
Try this
Q1. A scatterplot shows no pattern, points scattered everywhere. What is the association?
- Cue. No association (or very weak).
Q2. In a two-way table, 12 students like math and science, 8 like math only. How many like math?
- Cue. .
Exam-style practice questions
Practice questions written in the style of MA DESE exam questions on this dot point, with worked answer explainers. The year tag is the paper they imitate, not the source.
Grade 10 Math MCAS (style)1 marksSelected-response. A scatterplot of hours studied versus test score shows points rising from lower left to upper right in a tight band. The association is best described as (A) negative and weak (B) positive and strong (C) negative and strong (D) no associationShow worked answer →
The correct answer is (B).
Points rising from lower left to upper right show a positive association (as one variable increases, so does the other). A tight band of points means the relationship is strong. So the association is positive and strong. Choice (A) and (C) misread the direction; a rising pattern is positive, not negative.
Grade 10 Math MCAS (style)2 marksShort-answer. A two-way table shows 40 students: 18 play a sport and own a pet, 7 play a sport and do not own a pet, 10 do not play a sport but own a pet, 5 do neither. How many students own a pet?Show worked answer →
A 2-point item: one point for identifying the pet-owning cells, one for the total.
Owning a pet spans two cells: those who play a sport and own a pet (18) and those who do not play a sport but own a pet (10). Total pet owners . The check: all four cells sum to , matching the total. The common error is counting only one cell instead of adding both pet-owning groups.
Related dot points
- Fit and interpret a linear model for bivariate data, use the line of best fit to predict and to interpret slope and intercept in context, and distinguish correlation from causation.
A Grade 10 Math MCAS answer on linear regression: the line of best fit, interpreting its slope and intercept in context, making predictions, the correlation coefficient, and why correlation does not imply causation.
- Compute and interpret measures of center (mean, median) and spread (range, interquartile range), read box plots and histograms, and describe the shape of a distribution.
A Grade 10 Math MCAS answer on summarizing one-variable data: mean and median, range and interquartile range, reading box plots and histograms, and describing the shape of a distribution including skew and outliers.
- Interpret statistics in context, judge whether a measure or claim is appropriate, recognize misleading displays and biased samples, and reason about how outliers affect summaries.
A Grade 10 Math MCAS answer on interpreting statistics critically: choosing the right measure, spotting misleading graphs and biased samples, judging claims, and reasoning about the effect of outliers on the mean and median.
- Compute theoretical and experimental probabilities, apply the addition rule for either-or events and the multiplication rule for independent events, and find complements.
A Grade 10 Math MCAS answer on probability: theoretical versus experimental probability, the complement rule, the addition rule for either-or events, and the multiplication rule for independent events.
Sources & how we know this
- Release of Spring 2025 MCAS Test Items: Grade 10 Mathematics — Massachusetts DESE (2025)
- Massachusetts Curriculum Framework for Mathematics (2017) — Massachusetts DESE (2017)